Week 7 Monday Night Football Preview: Dallas at Philadelphia
October 23, 20263 min readUpdated October 23, 2026
Monday Night Football closes NFL Week 7 at Lincoln Financial Field, where Philadelphia has averaged 16.4 points per game across its last five and Dallas has averaged 26.2. Kickoff is Monday, October 26 at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN. Here is where the price sits, and the numbers behind it.
The slate at a glance
The Cowboys are the implied favorite on the road, and in our read the gap between the two sides is narrow.
| # | Matchup | Market favorite | Kickoff (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys at Eagles | Cowboys 66% | Mon 8:15 |
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
The market
As of October 21 at 12:07 PM ET, the market's implied probability favors Dallas at 66% on the road, with Philadelphia at 35% at home. In our read, a 66% road favorite in a division game is a narrow margin, and it says more about Philadelphia's month than about Dallas.
The numbers
As of October 23, Dallas averages 267.2 passing yards per game this season and is converting 47% on third down. Philadelphia averages 173.3 passing yards per game and converts 37%.
Our take: the clearest separation in the two profiles is on the ground. Dallas allows 149.8 rushing yards per game this season, while the Eagles average 82.2 rushing yards per game on offense.
Philadelphia's last win came on September 20 at Tennessee, 24-20, and it has conceded 23 points per game across its last five, most recently a 14-25 home loss to Carolina on Sunday, October 18. Dallas is 2-3 in its last five and lost 13-23 at Green Bay on Monday, October 19.
By our read, the forecast turns on whether Philadelphia's 37% third-down rate can keep its offense on the field against a Dallas defense giving up yards on the ground.
See markets for Cowboys at Eagles.
New to event contracts?
Fanatics Markets provides a place where you can trade event contracts on real-world outcomes. A price is the market's implied probability — a 66-cent contract implies about a 66% chance. If the outcome happens, the contract pays $1. If it does not, the contract pays nothing and you lose the 66 cents you paid.
See the Monday night markets
Dallas at Philadelphia kicks off Monday, October 26 at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN. See markets for Cowboys at Eagles, or see the full NFL slate.
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