NFL Week 7 Preview 2026
October 23, 202610 min readUpdated October 23, 2026
Kansas City at Seattle headlines Sunday, October 25, and it is the top-ranked game on a twelve-game Sunday slate. The day opens at 9:30 a.m. ET in Saint-Denis, France and closes under the lights at Lumen Field. Below are all twelve games in rank order, each with the market's current read.
The slate at a glance
| Matchup | Market favorite | Our read | Kickoff (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs at Seahawks | Seahawks 56% | Toss-up | Sun 8:20 PM |
| 49ers at Falcons | 49ers 62% | Lean | Sun 1:00 PM |
| Steelers at Saints | Steelers 63% | Lean | Sun 9:30 AM |
| Packers at Lions | Lions 61% | Lean | Sun 4:25 PM |
| Bengals at Ravens | Ravens 57% | Toss-up | Sun 1:00 PM |
| Rams at Raiders | Rams 66% | Lean | Sun 4:25 PM |
| Buccaneers at Panthers | Panthers 61% | Lean | Sun 1:00 PM |
| Browns at Titans | Browns 54% | Toss-up |
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
The market
As of October 21 at 12:07 PM ET, the market's implied probability favors Seattle at 56%, with Kansas City at 43%. In our read, that is a toss-up, and the 8:20 p.m. ET window gives Sunday's top-ranked matchup the last word of the day’s matchups.
The numbers
Kansas City has won its last five, scoring 28.0 and conceding 16.6 points per game, and runs for 159.8 rushing yards per game. Seattle allows 96.0 rushing yards per game and 141.3 passing yards per game, the lowest passing figure among Sunday's 24 teams. Seattle is 2-3 across its last five after a 14-17 loss at Denver on October 16.
See markets for Chiefs vs Seahawks.
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
The market
The market's implied probability favors San Francisco at 62% on the road, with Atlanta at 38%. That is a lean, and the second-ranked game of the day. Our take: San Francisco's third-down rate against an Atlanta pass defense allowing 252.0 yards per game is the central matchup here.
The numbers
San Francisco has won five straight, averaging 30.0 points per game, and converts 51.5% on third down, the highest rate among Sunday's 24 teams. Atlanta allows 252.0 passing yards per game against a 49ers offense averaging 238.5 passing yards per game.
Atlanta lost 23-31 to Chicago on October 18; San Francisco beat Washington 23-17 on October 20. Atlanta does run for 149.5 rushing yards per game, which is where its counter-argument lives.
See markets for 49ers vs Falcons.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints
The market
The market's implied probability favors Pittsburgh at 63%, with New Orleans at 38%, for a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff at Stade de France in Saint-Denis. That is a lean, and the earliest of Sunday's twelve windows.
The numbers
Pittsburgh beat Tampa Bay 26-19 on October 18 and is 3-2 in its last five, scoring 23.4 and conceding 23.0 points per game. New Orleans allows 138.0 rushing yards per game and has conceded 29.4 per game over the same span.
New Orleans beat the New York Giants 34-27 on October 18 and converts 42.5% on third down against Pittsburgh's 32.9%. By our read, that third-down split is the clearest contrast between the two sides.
See markets for Steelers vs Saints.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
The market
The market's implied probability favors Detroit at 61% at home, with Green Bay at 39%. That is a lean, and the fourth-ranked game on Sunday, October 25, in the 4:25 p.m. ET window.
The numbers
Green Bay throws for 269.3 passing yards per game and runs for 59.8, the lowest rushing figure among Sunday's 24 teams. Detroit allows 297.4 passing yards per game, the highest on the slate, and has scored 32.8 per game across its last five.
Green Bay beat Dallas 23-13 on October 19 and is 4-1 in its last five while conceding 17.2 points per game. The key here is Detroit's scoring rate against a defense conceding fewer than 3 touchdowns per contest.
See markets for Packers vs Lions.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
The market
The market’s implied probability favors Baltimore at 57%, with Cincinnati at 43%. On our reading that is a toss-up, one of only three the market declines to separate on Sunday’s twelve-game board. Quarterback Lamar Jackson (ankle) is listed as questionable after missing Baltimore’s previous two games, so his status is the main variable to watch before the 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff.
The numbers
Baltimore runs for 151.5 rushing yards per game into a Cincinnati defense allowing 123.0 rushing yards per game. Cincinnati converts 50.0% on third down and averages 260.0 passing yards per game, but runs for only 82.8.
Baltimore lost 10-13 at Cleveland on October 18, and both teams are 3-2 across their last five. The contrast is Baltimore's ground volume against Cincinnati's efficiency on third down.
See markets for Bengals vs Ravens.
Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders
The market's implied probability favors the Los Angeles Rams at 66%, with Las Vegas at 34%, a lean. The Rams average 288.7 passing yards per game and allow 167.0; the Raiders allow 237.3 and lost 30-33 to Buffalo on October 18.
See markets for Rams vs Raiders.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
The market's implied probability favors Carolina at 61%, with Tampa Bay at 40%, a lean. Carolina averages 295.6 passing yards per game and beat Philadelphia 25-14 on October 18. Tampa Bay allows only 75.5 rushing yards per game but is 1-4 in its last five.
See markets for Buccaneers vs Panthers.
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans
The market's implied probability favors Cleveland at 54%, with Tennessee at 46%, the narrowest split on the board, and a toss-up.. Cleveland is 4-1 in its last five while conceding 17.6 points per game. Tennessee has scored 14.8 over the same span.
See markets for Browns vs Titans.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
The market's implied probability favors the New York Jets at 69%, with Miami at 32%, a lean. Miami has lost its last five, scoring 14.0 points per game. The Jets allow 185.0 passing yards per game but lost 19-26 at New England on October 18.
See markets for Dolphins vs Jets.
New York Giants at Houston Texans
The market's implied probability favors Houston at 81%, with the New York Giants at 20%, the widest gap on Sunday and a clear favorite. Houston throws for 270.2 passing yards per game and allows 83.0 rushing. The Giants are 2-2-1 in their last five.
See markets for Giants vs Texans.
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals
The market's implied probability favors Denver at 67%, with Arizona at 33%, a lean during the 4:05 p.m. ET window. Denver is 4-1 in its last five and won 17-14 over Seattle on October 16. Arizona has conceded 32.8 points per game over the same span.
See markets for Broncos vs Cardinals.
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
The market's implied probability favors Minnesota at 72%, with Indianapolis at 28%, a clear favorite. Minnesota has won its last five, conceding 12.8 points per game across them and 173.2 passing yards per game this season. Indianapolis lost 20-26 to Tennessee on October 18.
See markets for Colts vs Vikings.
New to event contracts?
Fanatics Markets provides a place where you can trade event contracts on real-world outcomes. A price is the market's implied probability — a 56-cent contract implies about a 56% chance. If the outcome happens, the contract pays $1. If it does not, the contract pays nothing and you lose the 56 cents you paid.
See the Week 7 markets
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See the full NFL slate, or see markets for Chiefs vs Seahawks, the top-ranked game of Sunday, October 25, at 8:20 p.m. ET.
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