College Football Week 7 Preview: Ohio State vs Indiana and More
October 15, 202611 min readUpdated October 15, 2026
Saturday, October 17 opens with its biggest game. No. 4 Ohio State at No. 5 Indiana kicks off at 12:00 PM ET in Bloomington, a meeting of two top-five teams, and as of October 15 at 10:46 AM ET the market's implied probability favors Ohio State at 62% and Indiana at 38%. Nine more featured games fill the day, including No. 2 Notre Dame at No. 8 BYU at 7:30 PM ET in Provo, where the market favors Notre Dame at 79% and BYU at 22%.
The slate at a glance
| # | Matchup | Market favorite | Read | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No. 4 OSU at No. 5 IND | Ohio State 62% | Narrow split | 12:00 PM ET |
| 2 | No. 2 ND at No. 8 BYU | Notre Dame 79% | Clear favorite | 7:30 PM ET |
| 3 | No. 6 ALA at No. 14 TENN | Alabama 75% | Clear favorite | 3:30 PM ET |
| 4 | AUB at No. 1 UGA | Georgia 92% | Lopsided | 3:30 PM ET |
| 5 | FLA at No. 7 TEX | Texas 79% | Clear favorite |
Every price above is the market's implied probability as of October 15 at 10:46 AM ET. Ranks are from the AP Top 25 released October 11. Several two-sided pairs sum to a point or two above 100%, which is the normal spread between the two sides of a market.
No. 4 Ohio State at No. 5 Indiana
Ohio State is the market's implied favorite at 62%, with Indiana at 38%, a narrow split. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana.
Why it matters
Indiana has won all five of its last five and conceded 11.0 points per game across them, including a 20-17 win at Nebraska on October 10. Ohio State is 4-1 over that span, its only loss a 23-24 result at Texas on September 12, and it beat Maryland 45-16 on October 10. The October 11 AP poll has them at No. 4 and No. 5, so the result moves the Big Ten race either way.
The numbers
Ohio State averages 337.8 passing yards per game this season and allows 150.7. Indiana averages 221.3 rushing yards per game and allows 75.0. Ohio State's volume comes through the air, Indiana's on the ground, and each defense is strongest exactly where the other offense is least reliant.
What the market says
The 62/38 split leaves 24 points between the two sides. In our read, that price weighs Ohio State's 40.0 points per game over its last five against Indiana's unbeaten run and lands nearer the Buckeyes without settling it.
See markets for Ohio State at Indiana.
No. 2 Notre Dame at No. 8 BYU
Notre Dame is the market's implied favorite at 79%, with BYU at 22%, a clear favorite. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.
Why it matters
Notre Dame and BYU have each won all five of their last five games. Notre Dame beat Stanford 58-7 on October 10; BYU beat Iowa State 24-10 the same day, after a 17-10 win at TCU on October 3.
The numbers
Notre Dame allows 58.3 rushing yards and 155.7 passing yards per game this season and has scored 44.6 points per game over its last five. BYU converts 54.4% on third down and averages 223.8 rushing yards per game. Reading that gap, BYU's most productive method this season runs straight into the one thing Notre Dame has surrendered least.
What the market says
A 22% price on an unbeaten home team is the market calling BYU live without calling it favored. Notre Dame has conceded 10.6 points per game over its last five and BYU 13.4, a 2.8-point difference.
See markets for Notre Dame at BYU.
No. 6 Alabama at No. 14 Tennessee
Alabama is the market's implied favorite at 75%, with Tennessee at 26%, a clear favorite for the visiting team on the third Saturday in October. Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee.
Alabama has scored 43.4 points per game over its last five and lost 17-20 to Georgia on October 10. Tennessee converts 35.4% on third down this season against Alabama's 48.6%, and beat Arkansas 24-17 on October 10.
See markets for Alabama at Tennessee.
Auburn at No. 1 Georgia
Georgia is the market's implied favorite at 92%, with Auburn at 9%, a lopsided matchup. Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia.
Georgia has won all five of its last five, scoring 42.8 points per game and conceding 16.2, and converts 54.7% on third down this season. Auburn has scored 26.8 points per game over its last five and allows 149.0 rushing yards per game, against a Georgia offense averaging 211.8 on the ground.
See markets for Auburn at Georgia.
Florida at No. 7 Texas
Texas is the market's implied favorite at 79%, with Florida at 21%, a clear favorite. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas.
Texas has conceded 16.0 points per game over its last five and allows 168.4 passing yards per game this season. Florida has conceded 30.6 points per game over its last five, allows 268.7 passing yards per game, and lost 19-38 to South Carolina on October 10 and 17-45 at Missouri on October 3. Texas lost 24-27 at Oklahoma on October 10, so neither side arrives on a win.
See markets for Florida at Texas.
No. 13 Missouri at No. 9 Ole Miss
Ole Miss is the market's implied favorite at 66%, with Missouri at 34%, a clear favorite. Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi.
Ole Miss averages 300.6 passing yards per game this season but allows 176.4 rushing yards per game. Missouri averages 182.5 rushing yards per game and allows 78.3, and beat Texas A&M 27-6 on October 10. Our take: Missouri's strength falls where Ole Miss has given up most.
See markets for Missouri at Ole Miss.
No. 16 Mississippi State at No. 22 LSU
LSU is the market's implied favorite at 84%, with Mississippi State at 17%, a lopsided matchup. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.
LSU allows 176.2 passing yards and 74.5 rushing yards per game this season and comes off a 34-35 loss at Kentucky on October 10. Mississippi State averages 309.2 passing yards per game and lost 23-56 at home to Alabama on October 3. By our read, an 84% price on a team that just lost by a point is the market setting one result against a season of defensive numbers.
See markets for Mississippi State at LSU.
Florida State at No. 3 Miami
Miami is the market's implied favorite at 93%, with Florida State at 8%, a lopsided matchup, and the highest price on this week's featured board, a point above Georgia's 92%. Kickoff is 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Miami has won all five of its last five, scoring 49.6 points per game and conceding 9.8, and allows 42.6 rushing yards per game this season. Florida State is 2-3 over its last five, allows 165.5 rushing yards per game, and lost 20-44 at Louisville on October 9.
See markets for Florida State at Miami.
No. 18 Oklahoma State at No. 20 Houston
Houston is the market's implied favorite at 64%, with Oklahoma State at 37%, a narrow split. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas.
Houston converts 62.7% on third down this season and averages 230.0 rushing yards per game. Oklahoma State converts 33.9% and averages 322.4 passing yards per game. Houston beat Kansas State 35-16 on October 10.
See markets for Oklahoma State at Houston.
Wisconsin at No. 12 UCLA
UCLA is the market's implied favorite at 56%, with Wisconsin at 44%, a narrow split, and the narrowest on this week's featured board at 12 points. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.
UCLA has won all five of its last five, including 17-15 at Oregon on October 10, and averages 253.2 rushing yards per game this season. Wisconsin allows 152.6 passing yards and 114.6 rushing yards per game and is 4-1 over its last five. On our reading, Wisconsin's defensive numbers are why No. 12 UCLA is priced only six points clear of even.
See markets for Wisconsin at UCLA.
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See the Week 7 markets
All ten featured games kick off on Saturday, October 17, from the 12:00 PM ET window through the three 7:30 PM ET starts. Prices move as news lands, so the figures above are the market's implied probability as of October 15 at 10:46 AM ET and not a forecast of where they will sit at kickoff. See the full college football slate.