College Football Week 9 Preview: Florida vs Georgia and More
October 28, 202611 min readUpdated October 28, 2026
No. 17 Florida at No. 3 Georgia anchors CFB Week 9, one of only two featured games this week with ranked teams on both sides. As of October 27 at 10:05 AM ET, the market's implied probability favors Georgia at 79%, with Florida at 22%. Nine more featured games follow on Saturday, October 31, 2026.
The slate at a glance
BYU carries the highest implied probability on this week's featured board at 87%, and three more games sit at 80% or above. Three of the ten are priced at 61% or less for the favorite, which in our reading is where the week's real uncertainty sits. The table runs in our ranked order, strongest matchup first, and the Read column is our own characterization of each price rather than the market's.
| # | Matchup | Market favorite | Our Read | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No. 17 Florida at No. 3 Georgia | Georgia 79% | Clear favorite | Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET |
| 2 | No. 2 Ohio State at USC | Ohio State 69% | Clear favorite | Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM ET |
| 3 | No. 22 Arizona St at No. 8 BYU | BYU 87% | Lopsided | Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET |
| 4 | Auburn at No. 12 Ole Miss | Ole Miss 82% | Lopsided | Sat, Oct 31, 12:45 PM ET |
| 5 | No. 1 Miami at North Carolina | Miami 85% | Lopsided |
No. 17 Florida Gators at No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is the market's implied favorite over Florida at 79%, with Florida at 22%, a clear favorite rather than a lopsided one. Kickoff is Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, and the market page is Georgia vs Florida.
The matchup
Georgia and Florida meet as one of just two ranked-versus-ranked pairings among this week's featured games. Both arrive off October 17 results that cut against the rankings: Georgia lost 24-27 at home to Auburn, while Florida won 27-24 at Texas. The result shapes the SEC race either way.
The numbers
Georgia has allowed 185.0 passing yards and 91.4 rushing yards per game this season and converts 53.9% on third down. Florida averages 256.6 passing and 194.3 rushing yards per game, but has conceded 34.8 points per game across its last five. Our take: that defensive gap is the clearest separation in the two profiles.
What the market says
Georgia at 79% is priced as a clear favorite, not a formality. Florida's 22% is close to a one-in-five outcome. Both figures are the market's implied probability at the capture time above, not a forecast of the final score.
No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes at USC Trojans
Ohio State is the market's implied favorite on the road at 69%, with USC at 31%, a clear favorite. Kickoff is Saturday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, and the market page is Ohio State vs USC.
The matchup
Ohio State has won each of its last five games, scoring 39.2 points per game and conceding 13.4 over that run, and the Big Ten race runs through games like this one. USC is 3-2 across the same span and lost 7-24 at Wisconsin on October 24, its second defeat in five.
The numbers
Ohio State throws for 323.1 yards per game this season and allows 171.4 passing and 92.9 rushing yards per game. USC throws for 303.5 yards per game and allows 216.4 passing yards. By our read, the two offenses look closer on paper than the two defenses do, and the price reflects the second comparison more than the first.
What the market says
Ohio State at 69% leaves USC at 31%, roughly a one-in-three outcome for the home side in Los Angeles. The market has the Buckeyes clear but not lopsided, a narrower band than the four games on this board priced at 80% or above.
No. 22 Arizona State Sun Devils at No. 8 BYU Cougars
BYU is the market's implied favorite over Arizona State at 87%, with Arizona State at 14%, the widest price on this week's featured board. BYU converts 54.7% on third down this season; Arizona State converts 30.1%.
BYU fell in the rankings from #2 to 8 after their most recent result, a 31-39 loss at UCF on October 24. Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 31 at LaVell Edwards Stadium. See markets for Arizona State vs BYU.
Auburn Tigers at No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss is the market's implied favorite over Auburn at 82%, with Auburn at 18%, lopsided by the labels used here. Ole Miss averages 284.9 passing yards per game this season.
Auburn beat Georgia 27-24 on the road on October 17, then lost 17-38 at home to LSU on October 24. Auburn has a 2-3 record across its last five. The market page is Auburn vs Ole Miss.
No. 1 Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels
Miami is the market's implied favorite at North Carolina at 85%, with North Carolina at 14%, a lopsided matchup. Miami has allowed 60.0 rushing yards per game this season and has won five straight, scoring 44.2 points per game over that run.
North Carolina lost 30-31 at home to Syracuse in overtime on October 24 and is 2-3 across its last five. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 31 at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill. See markets for Miami vs North Carolina.
No. 20 Northwestern Wildcats at Oregon Ducks
Oregon is the market's implied favorite over Northwestern at 61%, with Northwestern at 39%, a lean, and one of three featured games priced at 61% for the home side. Northwestern runs for 204.6 yards per game this season against an Oregon defense allowing 127.9.
Oregon lost 10-21 at Illinois on October 24 and is 3-2 over its last five. Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 31. The market page is Northwestern vs Oregon.
No. 6 Utah Utes at Cincinnati Bearcats
Utah is the market's implied favorite at Cincinnati at 69%, with Cincinnati at 31%, a clear favorite. Utah runs for 221.0 yards per game this season and has won five in a row.
Cincinnati allows 284.4 passing yards per game and beat Texas Tech 37-24 at home on October 24. Kickoff is 3:45 PM ET on Saturday, October 31 at Nippert Stadium. See markets for Utah vs Cincinnati.
No. 25 Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is the market's implied favorite over Wisconsin at 61%, with Wisconsin at 39%, a lean. Iowa allows 82.9 rushing yards per game this season; Wisconsin allows 96.4.
Wisconsin beat USC 24-7 at home on October 24 and has conceded 11.4 points per game across its last five; Iowa lost 10-13 at Minnesota the same day. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET. The market page is Wisconsin vs Iowa.
Arizona Wildcats at No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech is the market's implied favorite over Arizona at 61%, with Arizona at 38%, a lean. Arizona throws for 310.9 yards per game and converts 54.7% on third down this season, against a Texas Tech defense allowing 266.1 passing yards per game.
Arizona has won five straight; Texas Tech lost 24-37 at Cincinnati on October 24. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 31 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock. See markets for Arizona vs Texas Tech.
Virginia Cavaliers at No. 14 Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest is the market's implied favorite over Virginia at 81%, with Virginia at 19%, a lopsided affair. Wake Forest averages 290.3 passing yards per game this season and scored 37.2 points per game across its last five.
Virginia converts 32.4% on third down and lost 16-19 at home to Duke on October 23. Kickoff is 3:45 PM ET on Saturday, October 31 at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem. The market page is Virginia vs Wake Forest.
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See the Week 9 markets
Georgia, Ohio State and Miami anchor a ten-game featured board on Saturday, October 31, 2026, with the first kickoffs at 12:00 PM ET. Prices move as news lands, so every figure here is a snapshot from the capture time stated at the top. The full college football board is at NCAAF on Fanatics Markets.
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