This market will resolve to "Yes" for the specific outcome that matches the officially confirmed winner of the Women's Division of the 2026 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest. All other outcomes will resolve to "No".
If an official tiebreaker (such as a tiebreak eat-off) is used to determine a single winner, that declared winner will be recognized for settlement purposes. If two or more competitors are tied for the most hot dogs eaten and no official tiebreaker is used to declare a single winner, the market will settle at 1/n, where n is the total number of tied competitors.
The final hot dog count is determined by the official total announced by Major League Eating at the conclusion of the contest, including any official tiebreak eat-off totals if applicable.
If a listed competitor does not participate in the event, the market for that competitor will resolve to "No".
The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.67 Section (c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.67 can be found here.
Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
In the event of an event cancellation, all open positions will be settled at the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) at the time of cancellation. Please note that settlement at VWAP may result in a return higher or lower than your original stake. For more information see here
Settlement Source: Rule 14.67(c) in the CDNA Rulebook
Proposed Settlement: Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET